Thursday, October 1, 2015

The Forman Files - How the NHL is Quickly Becoming a Young Man's Game


Its no secret: the NHL today is a young mans game and dominated by the youth or "next generation" of talent in the game of hockey. Something that has been very evident to me during this offseason was that veteran role guys (ie the 3rd/4th liners or bottom pair D) just weren't getting offers that they may have been in the past. It's a trend that continues to happen more and more as each new season begins, especially in this salary cap era where teams are in dire need of budgeting their cap well. The best teams in the NHL have 4-lines and 3 d-pairs that can play at both ends of the ice, so there isn't as much room for the role guys or fighters. The exception to that are guys like Brandon Prust and Shawn Thornton, fighters who can also play good 2-way hockey. This has left a big group of established NHL players without contracts going into training camps, many of them having to take PTOs (Professional Try Outs) to have a chance to earn one.

Notable Players on PTOs:
David Booth (FLA) - released
Brad Boyes (TOR) - signed to a 1-year deal
Devin Setoguchi (TOR - released
Curtis Glencross (TOR/COL) - released by TOR, released by COL
Andrej Meszaros (COL) - released
Jack Skille (COL) - signed to a 1-year deal
Dan Paille (CHI) - released
Lubomir Visnovsky (CHI)- released
Michal Rozsival (CHI) - signed to a 1-year deal
Tomas Kopecky (CHI) - released
Jan Hejda (CHI) - released
Ryan Wilson (CGY) - released
Peter Budaj (LAK) - sent to AHL
Jonas Gustavsson (BOS) - signed to a 1-year deal
Tomas Fleischmann (MTL) - signed to a 1-year deal
Tyler Kennedy (NJD) - released
Lee Stempniak (NJD) - signed to a 1-year deal
Martin Havlat (FLA) - released
Steve Bernier (NYI) - signed to a 1-year deal
Sergei Gonchar (PIT) - released
Scott Gomez (STL) - signed to a 1-year deal
Scottie Upshall (STL) - signed to a 1-year deal
Ray Emery (TBL) - released
Derek Roy (WSH) - released
James Sheppard (CBJ) - released

6 of these guys are Stanley Cup Winners: 
Dan Paille - Boston 2011
Michal Rozsival - Chicago 2013, 2015
Tomas Kopecky - Chicago 2010
Tyler Kennedy - Pittsburgh 2009
Sergei Gonchar - Pittsburgh 2009
Scott Gomez - New Jersey 2000, 2003

These are players that were impact guys on their respective teams only a few years ago, and yet most of them weren't able to get even a 1-year deal. The way the Salary Cap is structured now contracts are viewed more as a long-term investment and less about short-term needs. I'm not saying that guys don't get 1-2 year deals but the important contracts that GMs have to deal with are young superstar players or young on the rise players. Its all part of this transition to youth that has left a lot of veteran players without contracts, something that would have never happened in the old NHL (pre-2004/2005 lockout). In fact I would say it was the opposite in terms of the value of veterans vs. youth, the NHL was dominated by the established superstars that had the experience to back it up. The idea of 18-22 year-old players making an NHL team, even those just drafted in the 1st round, was pretty rare with exception of elite players. Most spots would be filled by veteran guys and rookies would have to compete to earn their spot, even top draft picks. If you look at the NHL now it's almost expected that these young guys step in as quickly as possible, and often its more than one or two guys in that same age category that make the team. For comparison sake I'm going to show you the roster of the 1995-1996 Buffalo Sabres and the 2014-2015 Buffalo Sabres and break down the age differences (these are players who had played at least 20 games).

1995-1996 Sabres:
# Player Name Age Pos. GP G A Pts








44 Alexei Zhitnik 22 D 80 6 30 36
10 Brad May 23 L 79 15 29 44
3 Garry Galley 32 D 78 10 44 54
26 Derek Plante 24 C 76 23 33 56
17 Brent Hughes 29 L 76 5 10 15
16 Pat LaFontaine 30 C 76 40 51 91
12 Randy Burridge 29 L 74 25 33 58
36 Matthew Barnaby 22 R 73 15 16 31
32 Rob Ray 27 R 71 3 6 9
27 Mike Peca 21 C 68 11 20 31
43 Jason Dawe 22 R 67 25 25 50
Yuri Khmylev 31 L 66 8 20 28
21 Mark Astley 26 D 60 2 18 20
39 Dominik Hasek 30 G 59 0 1 1
19 Brian Holzinger 22 C 58 10 10 20
34 Mike Wilson 21 D 58 4 8 12
Dave Hannan 33 L 57 6 10 16
Charlie Huddy 36 D 52 5 5 10
Craig Muni 33 D 47 0 4 4
6 Doug Houda 29 D 38 1 3 4
4 Bob Boughner 24 D 31 0 1 1
25 Rob Conn 26 R 28 2 5 7
33 Scott Pearson 25 L 27 4 0 4
8 Darryl Shannon 27 D 26 2 6 8
28 Donald Audette 25 R 23 12 13 25
30 Andrei Trefilov 26 G 22 0 0 0
24 Dane Jackson 25 R 22 5 4 9
18 Michal Grosek 20 R 22 6 4 10

2014/15 Sabres:
# Player Name Age Pos. GP G A Pts
44 Nicolas Deslauriers 23 L 82 5 10 15
63 Tyler Ennis 24 C 78 20 26 46
19 Cody Hodgson 24 C 78 6 7 13
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 19 D 78 8 12 20
26 Matt Moulson 30 L 77 13 28 41
12 Brian Gionta 35 R 69 13 22 35
6 Mike Weber 26 D 64 1 6 7
80 Chris Stewart 26 R 61 11 14 25
28 Zemgus Girgensons 20 C 61 15 15 30
41 Andrej Meszaros 28 D 60 7 7 14
51 Nikita Zadorov 19 D 60 3 12 15
61 Andre Benoit 30 D 59 1 8 9
82 Marcus Foligno 23 L 57 8 12 20
65 Brian Flynn 26 C 54 5 12 17
17 Torrey Mitchell 29 C 51 6 7 13
21 Drew Stafford 28 R 50 9 15 24
57 Tyler Myers 24 D 47 4 9 13
24 Tyson Strachan 29 D 46 0 5 5
4 Josh Gorges 30 D 46 0 6 6
36 Patrick Kaleta 28 R 42 0 3 3
22 Johan Larsson 22 R 39 6 10 16
37 Matt Ellis 33 L 39 1 1 2
1 Jhonas Enroth 26 G 37 0 0 0
8 Cody McCormick 31 C 33 1 3 4
84 Philip Varone 23 C 28 3 2 5
34 Michal Neuvirth 26 G 27 0 0 0
25 Mikhail Grigorenko 20 C 25 3 3 6
20 Zac Dalpe 24 C 21 1 2 3
47 Zach Bogosian 24 D 21 0 7 7

1995/1996 Players 20 or under: 1
1995/1996 Players 21-24: 8
1995/1996 Players 30 or over: 7
1995/1996 Average Age: 26.43

2014/2015 Players 20 or under: 4
2014/2015 Players 21-24: 9
2014/2015 Players 30 or over: 5
2014/2015 Average Age: 25.86

The statistics were similar in the 21-24 category, and it shows that there will always be young players getting their chances right away. I'm not saying that in the old-NHL no young players ever made their team right away, but it was just a lot more difficult than it is now (where it's much more of an expectation). The real difference of these two rosters is the players 20 or under: the 1995/1996 Sabres had only Michal Grosek (20) in that category and he only played 20 games that season. Looking at the 2014/2015 Sabres they had 4 players (Rasmus Ristolainen - 19, Zemgus Girgensons - 20, Nikita Zadorov - 19 and Mikhail Grigorenko - 20) in that category who played a combined 224 games. That's a lot of trust in some very young players, and just part of the changing culture of the NHL today. Some of these guys have not been shy about saying how difficult it is to be in this position, especially some of the more established guys. David Booth was on a PTO with the Florida Panthers, the team that drafted him 53rd overall in 2004 and the team that he played in his first 6-NHL seasons. It seemed like a good fit for Booth, a guy looking to revitalize his career in a familiar setting. However things didn't work out for Booth who was just released from his PTO, and he didn't hold back in his comments afterwards:

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I found myself reading this and really trying to break it down and look at it from Booth's point of view, and he makes 2 points that I completely agree with:

1. Hockey is a business and you're just a number, they have to make decisions they feel are best for the team.
2. Back in the day older guys were pushing younger guys back, now things are the opposite older guys are getting phased out of the game.

The first point that Booth makes is quite obvious, from the GM/Owner's standpoint hockey is a business and everything is done with the best intentions towards the team. As I said above, in this salary cap era teams are cautious with spending and that translates to a lot of guys not getting contracts. The second point completely backs up my thoughts on writing this article; how the NHL is becoming a young mans game and phasing out the veteran/role guys. Booth says how it used to the old guys pushing young players back to wait their turn, now its those older guys getting pushed out of roster spots by younger players. This doesn't mean that no veteran players are able to stay in the NHL today, heck Jaromir Jagr is 43 and still piling on the points, but the NHL is trending younger and younger by the year and becoming a young man's game.

Joel Forman - The Forman Faceoff

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